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The New York Times The New York Times Health September 3, 2002  


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Sorting Through the Confusion Over Estrogen

By JANE E. BRODY

Susan McGee of Bethesda, Md., and Jane Quinn of Brooklyn were not planning to take hormones at menopause. But after many months of sleep disrupted nightly by drenching sweats and changes of bedclothes, they gave in.

Ms. McGee said she became so sleep deprived that she could hardly do her job and feared falling asleep while driving. Ms. Quinn found it increasingly difficult to concentrate on her work, became uncharacteristically irritable and began to think she was losing her mind. The hormones quickly restored their sleep and their sanity.

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These two are among millions of American women near, at or beyond menopause who are asking why so much remains unknown about a drug that has been on the market for 60 years, and what they should make of new findings that are surprising and disappointing proponents of hormone replacement therapy, or H.R.T.

Estrogen — sold today in myriad forms with and without a companion hormone progesterone — was originally marketed to counter the annoying and sometimes disruptive symptoms of menopause.

But in the decades since its initial approval by the Food and Drug Administration in 1942, estrogen had acquired a reputation as an antidote to many of the illnesses and afflictions of aging. Scores of observational and case studies supported this view, and drug makers and their advertising agencies embraced it with enthusiasm. By 2000, the therapy had become a $2.75 billion business.

The benefits of temporary use of estrogen to weather disruptive menopausal symptoms have not been challenged. Nor is there concern about vaginal applications of estrogen to counter the atrophy that can destroy the joy of lovemaking.

Rather, the focus is on how long a woman can safely stay on hormone replacement that is taken orally or by skin patch and what effects, good or bad, the long-term therapy may have on her health.

Most of the data on the presumed benefits of hormone replacement come from observational studies of women who chose to take it or not. Although in analyzing their findings, researchers tried to account for differences between these groups of women, there is always a chance that factors not considered could have influenced the results, especially since women who choose to use hormones tend to have healthier habits over all and are likely to be followed more closely by their physicians.

To establish facts required a large clinical trial in which women were randomly assigned to take hormones or a look-alike placebo, with neither the women nor their doctors knowing who was on what regimen until the study was completed. Major new findings from such clinical trials have seriously challenged estrogen's image as a preventive of chronic disease, raising doubts about the benefits of lifelong hormone replacement.

First, the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study, known as HERS, found that the hormone combination did not prevent heart attacks and cardiac deaths in women who already had heart disease. Initially, in fact, women who took the combination actually had slightly more heart problems than women given dummy pills.

In July, the Women's Health Initiative, or W.H.I., abruptly ended a study of the same drug combination, marketed as Prempro, in younger and initially healthy postmenopausal women. This well-designed clinical trial found small but statistically significant increases in health risks — including breast cancer, heart attacks, strokes and blood clots — that outweighed the benefits, a lower risk of hip fractures and colon cancer.

"W.H.I. changed the way we think about estrogen; this is not a drug to be used for prevention," said Dr. Bruce Ettinger, a longtime researcher on hormone replacement at the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program in Oakland, Calif. "Giving the drug to a lot of healthy women is not the right thing to do."

He and others suggest that women taking it to relieve severe menopausal symptoms should use the lowest possible dose and taper off as soon as possible.

These findings are of grave concern to the more than 40 million women in the United States at menopause or beyond it and 20 million others who will reach it in the next decade.

Hormone replacement therapy has soared in popularity in recent decades after observational studies reported that it might greatly reduce the risk of heart disease and osteoporosis and might even protect against Alzheimer's disease and the mental decline associated with aging.

When added to the widely held belief that estrogen could prevent wrinkles, preserve sexual vigor and maintain a youthful distribution of body fat, the claims made the therapy hard to resist for women willing to take a pill every day or apply a skin patch every week.

Now, as the more precise studies begin producing data, claims for estrogen are being scaled back to the only two approved indications for treatment: preservation of bone density and the original reason for marketing this hormone, to relieve the hot flashes, night sweats and vaginal dryness and atrophy that disturb about half of American women to varying degrees when ovarian function slows to a near halt.

These, in fact, are the only benefits manufacturers are permitted to claim in advertising their estrogen products.

If the findings concerned only the therapy's benefits, the 20 million women already on hormone replacement and the 1.4 million who reach menopause each year would face a relatively simple choice. But the recent findings that the therapy may bring risks vastly complicate things for women who must now decide whether these risks outweigh benefits already known and those yet to be established.

The pioneering Women's Health Initiative was not begun until 1993, amid rising concern about the relative lack of studies of women's health problems and pressure from Dr. Bernadine Healy, who was then the director of the National Institutes of Health. Today many women wonder why this kind of research did not take place much earlier.

 

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Marty Katz for The New York Times

Susan McGee of Bethesda, Md., found relief from symptoms like sleeplessness by taking hormones at menopause. Now she is concerned about findings of new studies.

 

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Susan Spann, left; Rick Friedman for The New York Times

Estrogen "is not a drug to be used for prevention," Dr. Bruce Ettinger, left, says. Dr. Isaac Schiff, right, says, "For hot flashes, there's nothing better."

 



 


 
Lisa DeCesare for The New York Times

"We have to get away from the silver bullet mentality," says Dr. Wulf Utian.

 

















 

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