Annual mammography in women in their 40s does not cut death rate
David Spurgeon, Quebec
Women in their 40s who received annual mammography screening did not have a
better survival rate from breast cancer than thosewho received usual
care from their personal physician after anaverage 13 year follow
up, says a report on the Canadian nationalbreast screening study of
more than 50000 volunteers (Annalsof Internal Medicine
2002;137:305-12)[Medline].
Authors of the study say it is the only trial to date with published results
that has focused on women aged 40-49years.
Dr Cornelia Baines, professor in the public health sciences department at the
University of Toronto and a coauthor, said:"The data from this
research are quite striking and quite clear.The difference between
annual screening compared to the controlgroup is not statistically
significant. Breast cancer was notreduced."
The study compared breast cancer mortality in two groups. The first group
received screening with annual mammography, physicalexamination of
the breast, and instruction on breast self examination.The second
group received the usual care available in the Canadianhealthcare
system after a single physical breast examination andinstruction on
breast selfexamination.
Fifteen Canadian centres took part in the randomised controlled trial, which
involved 50430 volunteers recruited from January1980 to March
1985 who were not pregnant, had no previous breastcancer diagnosis,
and had not had mammography in the preceding12months.
Physical breast examination and instruction on breast self examination
preceded random assignment of 25214 women to receiveannual
mammography, physical breast examination, and breast selfexamination
and 25216 women to receive usual health care withannual followup.
The results were measured by looking at the verified breast cancer incidence
and cohort mortality up to 31 December 1993 anddeaths from breast
cancer up to 30 June1996.
The 105 deaths from breast cancer in the mammography group and the 108 breast
cancer deaths in the usual care group yieldeda cumulative rate
ratio, adjusted for mammography done outsidethe study, of 1.06 (95%
confidence interval 0.80 to 1.40).
A total of 592 cases of invasive breast cancer and 71 cases of in situ breast
cancer were diagnosed by 31 December 1993 inthe mammography group
compared with 552 and 29 cases, respectively,in the usual care
group. The expected proportions of non-palpableand small invasive
tumours were detected onmammography.
The report concludes that "important questions on mammography screening of
women 40-49 years of age still need to be answered...Until the
ongoing United Kingdom trial of women recruited at ages40-41 years
reaches fruition, it will be uncertain whether womenin their forties
benefit frommammography."
The same issue of Annals of Internal Medicine contains the
recommendations of the US Preventive Services Task Force, originally
released last February, calling for screening mammography, withor
without clinical breast examination, every one to two yearsfor women
aged 40 and older (BMJ2002;324:506)[Full
Text].
In an editorial (pp 363-4) Dr Steven Goodman, associate professor of
oncology, paediatrics, epidemiology, and biostatisticsat the Johns
Hopkins School of Medicine, says: "Most women areunaware that
mammography increases the risk for lumpectomy andmastectomy.
Ignoring these extra surgical interventions createsthe illusion of
almost complete physical safety from mammography,tilting the
cost-benefit calculus in a more favorable direction...There will
come a time when all the study patients have been followedup, all
the analyses have been done, all the expert groups havemet, and all
the editorials have been written, and we still won'tbe sure how much
benefit and how much harm are caused bymammography."
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