WASHINGTON - Fearing a biological attack from Iraq, the United States
has made new smallpox vaccine and readied response plans for the
reappearance of the deadly virus, which some experts are convinced is
part of Saddam Hussein's arsenal.
Clues include United Nations weapons inspectors' discovery in 1994
at an Iraqi medical complex of a freeze-dryer labeled "smallpox" in
Arabic and Iraq's experimenting with a related virus that infects
camels.
The official U.S. position, shared by some experts, is that the
evidence is inconclusive.
"I don't believe the intelligence community has a smoking gun that
Iraq possesses the virus," said Jonathan Tucker, a former U.N.
biological weapons inspector.
"My impression is they're erring on the side of caution on these
bits of circumstantial evidence that are troubling but not
conclusive."
All smallpox samples except one in Atlanta and one in Moscow were
supposed to have been destroyed more than two decades ago when the
disease was declared eradicated.
The former Soviet Union reportedly grew tons of smallpox as part of
its biological weapons program, and experts suspect other countries
could be harboring clandestine samples.
Chief among the suspects is Iraq, which has admitted making weapons
from anthrax and other germs.
"I have no doubt in my mind that Iraq does have the smallpox
virus," said Dr. Ken Alibek, a top official in the Soviet biological
weapons program before he defected to the United States in 1992.
An attack with smallpox could kill millions, a possibility that
prompted the Bush administration to order enough smallpox vaccine to
inoculate the entire U.S. population if necessary.
"We're very worried about Iraq," said Dr. D.A. Henderson, a
smallpox expert and bioterrorism adviser to the Department of Health
and Human Services.
Unlike anthrax, the bacteria used in last year's unsolved mail
attacks, the highly contagious smallpox virus can be passed from
person to person.
The virus causes ugly pustules on the skin and inside the mouth and
throat. About a third of unvaccinated people who get the disease die.
The last case of smallpox in the United States occurred in Texas in
1949, and routine vaccinations ended in America 30 years ago.
That means at least two out of five Americans have not been
vaccinated, and studies suggest that the vaccine's protection probably
fades over time.