http://www.anthraxvaccine.org/questions.html
Dr. Nass Replies to Frequently Asked Questions Regarding a
Bioterrorism Response, September 26,
2001
Q: What antibiotic
should I obtain?
A: Although
ciprofloxacin has been licensed for use by FDA for anthrax, and doxycycline was
very effective in monkey studies, nearly all common antibiotics, except
cephalosporins, are effective against anthrax when it occurs naturally. The problem is that when developed as a
bioweapon, bacteria can have antibiotic resistance genes introduced, rather
simply. Since cipro and doxycycline
have been advocated for anthrax since before the Gulf War, an adversary might
specifically try to overcome those antibiotics. So it is impossible to know for sure what antibiotics will work,
in advance of an attack.
If there is an anthrax release, the organism will be
cultured and we will know within 48 hours what antibiotics to use.
Q: How can I get
antibiotics?
A: Obviously, you
can only get them from a physician. If
everyone obtains their own "stash" of antibiotics, there will not be
enough for those who are actually exposed.
The government does have some antibiotic stockpiles stored around the
country.
Q: What is the risk
of anthrax to me?
A: Anthrax is only
deadly when you inhale a huge number of spores. Once the spores hit the ground, they stay there, so the risk from
re-aerosolization is miniscule. In
Sverdlovsk (now Ekaterinburg) there was
a large release of anthrax spores from a bioweapons factory, due to a faulty or
missing filter, in 1979. Only 66 people
in a town of more than 1 million died from anthrax, although the citizens were
not notified of the release, and therefore did not receive prompt antibiotics
or optimal medical therapy.
Anthrax does NOT spread from person to person. When it travels with the wind, it follows a
narrow path, and does NOT spread out widely over long distances. That is why there were so few cases in
Sverdlovsk. Workers in American
factories that were grossly contaminated with anthrax spores, who inhaled hundreds
of spores each day, almost never developed inhalation anthrax, the most deadly
form of the disease.
Therefore, if anthrax is used, it will affect only a limited
area, and relatively small numbers of people.
It is a good terrorist weapon, as any use will strike terror in millions
or billions of people. But it is a BAD
weapon if you are trying to inflict a massive amount of casualties.
Q: But I heard that
50 kilograms released over NYC could kill millions?
A: You could only
achieve massive casualties if you had a plane going back and forth over NYC,
making multiple loops over the city, with the wind exactly right. This would require that we lose control of
the air space over our cities.
Q: But couldn't
anthrax be released without detection, and we would have no warning until
people started dying?
A: Sensors have been
developed, and have been deployed, to detect such releases. There are relatively simple devices that can
tell if unusual numbers of organisms are in the air. Hopefully these devices will be put in the right places and
provide us adequate warning of an attack.
Q: If there is a
release of anthrax, what is the treatment?
A: In animal
studies, antibiotics given for one or two months prevented anthrax in exposed
animals while on antibiotics. Some of
the animals did develop anthrax after the antibiotics were stopped, due to
spores that remained in their lungs but had never germinated, so the
antibiotics were unable to be effective against them. It was hypothesized that 6 months of antibiotics might suffice to
prevent this. Since humans need to
inhale a lot more anthrax than lab animals, before they become affected, this
may not be as big a concern as we think.
Q: Are there safe
vaccines anywhere?
A: The British
(killed) anthrax vaccine has had similar criticisms as the American vaccine,
and is not necessarily any safer. The
Russian (actually from Tblisi, Georgia) live anthrax vaccine safety profile is
uncertain. The live animal anthrax
vaccine routinely kills llamas and some goats, so I would not use it on humans
without a lot of study first.
Q: What about other
threats, like smallpox or plague?
A: Smallpox is a
virus that might respond to antivirals.
There is a stockpile of several million doses of freeze dried vaccine
maintained by CDC, which is approximately 30 years old. It was tested on humans last year. New vaccine will be available in 2004. Smallpox is highly contagious. Those born before 1980 in the US received
smallpox vaccine as infants, and will have some level of protection.
Plague is a bacterial disease that can spread person to
person, but not that easily. The
existing plague vaccine is not thought to be effective against the inhaled form
of the disease. Many antibiotics work
for naturally occurring plague, but if bioengineered for virulence, as in the
case of anthrax, effective antibiotics cannot be predicted.
The fatality rates for these diseases are lower than for
anthrax.
Q: What about gas masks and protective equipment?
A: If you are in the
vicinity of an attack, the best protection is to get inside and close all
windows and doors. As long as you do
not breathe in the tens of thousands or more spores required to induce illness,
you will be fine. If you insist on a
mask, you will need one that prevents inhalation of particles greater than one
micron.
Q: What about
chemical weapons?
A: In general, they
are like anthrax. Yes, they can kill
you (1 milligram of VX on your skin is a lethal dose). But they will only affect a relatively small
area, and, like anthrax, will spread following a narrow plume of wind, not a
wide area. They dissipate in a
relatively short time. They are only
good for attacking dense concentrations of people.
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