Mathematical modeling enables predictions to be made about
the best vaccination strategy to eradicate a bioterrorist smallpox outbreak. In
his Perspective,
Koopman
discusses a new study (Halloranet al.) which suggests that targeted vaccination of exposed individuals
rather than mass vaccination of all individuals may be the most effective
approach. However, as Koopman points out, accurately modeling the transmission
of smallpox is very difficult in the absence of data about smallpox outbreaks.
The author is in the Department of Epidemiology and the Center for the Study
of Complex Systems, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA. E-mail:
jkoopman@umich.edu
ALL INFORMATION, DATA, AND
MATERIAL CONTAINED, PRESENTED, OR PROVIDED HERE IS FOR GENERAL INFORMATION
PURPOSES ONLY AND IS NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS REFLECTING THE KNOWLEDGE OR OPINIONS
OF THE PUBLISHER, AND IS NOT TO BE CONSTRUED OR INTENDED AS PROVIDING MEDICAL OR
LEGAL ADVICE. THE DECISION WHETHER OR NOT TO VACCINATE IS AN IMPORTANT AND
COMPLEX ISSUE AND SHOULD BE MADE BY YOU, AND YOU ALONE, IN CONSULTATION WITH
YOUR HEALTH CARE PROVIDER.
"A foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth."
-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
"I know of no safe depository of the ultimate powers of the society but the people themselves, and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to William C. Jarvis, September 28, 1820
"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
-- Sandy Gottstein
"Who gets to decide what the greater good is and how many will be sacrificed to it?"