http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/324/7337/609/a
BMJ 2002;324:609 ( 9 March )
Letters
Deaths from chickenpox
Deaths
from chickenpox in adults are decreasing
Epidemiology
of chickenpox in United Kingdom needs further investigation
Healthcare
workers should not be forgotten
Chickenpox
associated morbidity may be long term
Extracorporeal
membrane oxygenation has important role
Deaths from chickenpox in adults are decreasing
EDITOR
On
the basis of death certificates from the Office for National Statistics from
1995 to 1997, Rawson et al conclude that deaths as a result of
chickenpox are increasing in adults in England and Wales.1
More up to date figures from the Office for National Statistics,
however, show that chickenpox mortality is decreasing in adults (from
32 deaths in 1996 to 18 in 2000
see
figure (a)). Furthermore, the number of deaths from chickenpox
and case fatality rates were significantly higher in 1995-7 (period
of the analysis) than at any other period. The claim by Rawson et al
that deaths in adults are rising is therefore misleading.

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Deaths from chickenpox (a) and annual
consultation rate for chickenpox (b) in England and Wales, 1981-2000
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The change in age related varicella mortality is the result of a shift in the
age distribution of infection. Over the past two decades there has
been an increase in cases in the youngest age group (possibly due to
greater attendance of day-care).2-4 Over
the same time period there has been a gradual increase in reported
incidence in adults, which peaked in the late 1980s and has been
falling since (figure (b)). This is broadly reflected in the gradual
decrease in deaths in adults during the past decade. The exception to
this trend are 1996 and 1997
exactly
the time period when Rawson et al performed their study. What has
caused these large shifts in the incidence of varicella in adults is
still largely unexplained.
Marc Brisson, health economist.
mbrisson@phls.org.uk
W John Edmunds, health economist.
jedmunds@phls.org.uk
Nigel J Gay, mathematical modeller.
ngay@phls.org.uk
Elizabeth Miller, head.
Immunisation Division, Public Health Laboratory Service Communicable Disease
Surveillance Centre, London NW9 5EQ
We would like to thank the Office for National Statistics, and Douglas
Fleming and the Birmingham Research Unit, Royal College of General
Practitioners, for data.
| 1. |
Rawson H, Crampin A, Noah N. Deaths from chickenpox in
England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of routine mortality data. BMJ
2001; 323: 1091-1093[Abstract/Full
Text]. (10 November.)
|
| 2. |
Fairley CK, Miller E. Varicella-zoster virus epidemiology a
changing scene? J Infect Dis 1996; 174(Suppl 3): S314-S319[Medline].
|
| 3. |
Ross AM, Fleming DM. Chickenpox increasingly affects
preschool children. Commun Dis Public Health 2000; 3: 213-215[Medline].
|
| 4. |
Brisson M, Edmunds WJ, Law B, Gay NJ, Walld R, Brownell M,
et al. Epidemiology of varicella zoster virus infection in Canada and the
United Kingdom. Epidemiol Infect 2001; 127: 305-314[Medline].
|
Epidemiology of chickenpox in United Kingdom needs further
investigation
EDITOR
Rawson
et al highlight the potential severity of chickenpox.1
They say that the age distribution of chickenpox is changeable. But
recent data from Scotland, England and Wales, and the United States
show that the previous shift towards increased infection in older age
groups has not been sustained.2-4 In recent
years the trend has been towards decreased age at infection, with
most cases now occurring among the group aged 1-4 years, rather
than among children of school age.
Varicella vaccine is recommended for routine administration in the United
States and Canada, among other countries, but its suitability for
inclusion in the United Kingdom's childhood immunisation programme is
still being considered. Further work on the epidemiology of
chickenpox in the United Kingdom is therefore now particularly
important.
We have proposed a one year period of enhanced active surveillance for severe
complications of varicella in children admitted to hospital
throughout the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland, using the
British Paediatric Surveillance Unit's orange card scheme.5
The information gained, together with that of Rawson et al, and
others, would help to determine the advisability of a universal
programme for the United Kingdom, and provide a baseline against
which to evaluate its impact should it be adopted.
J Claire Bramley, epidemiologist (immunisation).
Scottish Centre for Infection and Environmental Health, Glasgow G3 7LN
claire.bramley@scieh.csa.scot.nhs.uk
| 1. |
Rawson H, Crampin A, Noah N. Deaths from chickenpox in
England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of routine mortality data. BMJ
2001; 323: 1091-1093[Abstract/Full
Text]. (10 November.)
|
| 2. |
Bramley JC, Jones IG. Epidemiology of chickenpox in
Scotland: 1981 to 1998. Commun Dis Public Health 2000; 3: 282-287[Medline].
www.phls.co.uk/publications/cdph.htm (accessed 25 January 2002).
|
| 3. |
Ross AM, Fleming DM. Chickenpox increasingly affects
preschool children. Commun Dis Public Health 2000; 3: 213-215[Medline].
www.phls.co.uk/publications/cdph.htm (accessed 25 January 2002).
|
| 4. |
Fairley CK, Miller E. Varicella-zoster virus epidemiology a
changing scene? J Infect Dis 1996; 174(suppl 3): S314-S319[Medline].
|
| 5. |
Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health. British
Paediatric Surveillance Unit 15th annual report 2000-2001. London:
British Paediatric Surveillance Unit, 2001:58.
http://bpsu.inopsu.com/Publicat.htm (accessed 25 January 2002). |
Healthcare workers should not be forgotten
EDITOR
We
agree with the conclusion of Rawson et al that, although deaths in adults from
chickenpox have increased in number and proportion, this does not
justify mass immunisation with varicella vaccine.1
One population, however, that would clearly benefit from vaccination
is susceptible healthcare workers.
At St George's Hospital in London we identified a total of 25 cases of
chickenpox in staff and students from data prospectively collected
over the past three years. We were able to determine the country of
birth in 22 of these and found that most cases (13/22 (59%)) occurred
in people born outside the United Kingdom. This figure was higher
than expected since only 39% of the St George's workforce who have
contact with patients are black or from an ethnic minority. Since
Rawson et al found that there was a disproportionately higher
mortality among such people compared with those born here, it would
be interesting to know if occupations, such as those in health care
with a higher likelihood of exposure, were over-represented among the
cases of fatal varicella.
Live attenuated varicella vaccine has been in use now for over two decades.2
Moreover, it has had a licence for use in susceptible individuals in
the United States since 1995 and has an excellent safety and efficacy
record.3 We believe that the increased
mortality from chickenpox in adults of working age of between 1:1000
and 1: 5000 shown by Rawson et al may make it indefensible for NHS
trusts not to offer varicella vaccine to their susceptible staff for
two reasons: personal safety at work and nosocomial chickenpox. If
only medical and nursing staff and students had been vaccinated in
the last three years at St George's, 85% of chickenpox cases in
hospital staff would have been prevented.
Ruby Devi, specialist registrar in microbiology.
David Muir, specialist registrar in virology.
Philip Rice, consultant virologist.
Department of Medical Microbiology, St George's Hospital, London SW17 0QT
| 1. |
Rawson H, Crampin A, Noah N. Deaths from chickenpox in
England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of routine mortality data. BMJ
2001; 323: 1091-1093[Abstract/Full
Text]. (10 November.)
|
| 2. |
Asano Y, Suga S, Yoshikawa T, Kobayashi I, Yazaki T,
Shibata M, et al. Experience and reason: twenty year follow-up of protective
immunity of the Oka strain live varicella vaccine. Paediatrics 1994;
94: 524-526[Medline]
|
| 3. |
Vazquez M, LaRussa PS, Gershon AA, Steinberg SP, Freudigman
K, Shapiro ED. The effectiveness of the varicella vaccine in clinical
practice. N Engl J Med 2001; 344: 955-960[Abstract/Full
Text].
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Chickenpox associated morbidity may be long term
EDITOR
Rawson et al analysed deaths from chickenpox during 1995-7.1
It has previously been recorded that chickenpox in healthy adults has
a 25-fold greater risk of complications than in children.2
Rawson et al show a significant mortality of chickenpox in England
and Wales but do not address the question about associated morbidity,
an important issue when addressing the value of immunisation on a
population. We recently performed a prospective study on respiratory
function in adult patients with chickenpox admitted to a subregional
infectious diseases unit in a United Kingdom hospital over a period
of 29 months.3
Sixty six adult patients with chickenpox were admitted to hospital during the
period, four of whom were immunocompromised. Thirty eight patients
fulfilled the study protocol and of these, 50% had radiological
evidence of pneumonia (all immunocompetent).3
Three female patients required admission to intensive care unit,
two of whom were pregnant. One patient presented with chickenpox
encephalitis, and five had superimposed bacterial skin
infections.
Severe respiratory disease was associated with the presence of new
respiratory symptoms, close contact with the index case, and a
history of current smoking. On follow up at a year post-infection,
37% of patients with radiological pneumonia and 10.6% of those
without pneumonia continued to have reduced single breath carbon
monoxide transfer factor.
This effect was independent from the effect of smoking and may indicate
permanent lung damage. It may therefore be that the morbidity relates
not only to the acute infection and admission but also to longer term
effects on the lung function, but the exact clinical relevance of our
findings is uncertain at present. The study does, however, indicate
that chickenpox causes significant morbidity in adults, which may be
seen increasingly in the future. Accurate data on morbidity as well
as mortality are required to inform the debate on the value of mass
vaccination for chickenpox in the United Kingdom.
A H Mohsen, clinical research fellow, infectious
disease.
Weston Education Centre, Guy's, King's and St Thomas's School of Medicine,
London SE5 9RS Abdul.mohsen@kcl.ac.uk
M W McKendrick, consultant physician.
North Trent Department of Infection and Tropical Medicine, Royal Hallamshire
Hospital Sheffield S10 2JF
| 1. |
Rawson H, Crampin A, Noah N. Deaths from chickenpox in
England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of routine mortality data. BMJ
2001; 323: 1091-1093[Abstract/Full
Text]. (10 November.)
|
| 2. |
Centre for Disease Control. Varicella-zoster immune
globulin for the prevention of chickenpox. Morb Mortal Wkly Rec MMWR
1984; 33: 84-90[Medline].
|
| 3. |
Mohsen AH, Peck RJ, Mason Z, Mattock L, McKendrick MW. Lung
function tests and risk factors for pneumonia in adults with chicken pox.
Thorax 200; 56: 796-799[Abstract/Full
Text].
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Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation has important role
EDITOR
Rawson
et al highlighted the potentially devastating effects of varicella infection,
particularly the fact that adults in the United Kingdom are dying
from it and these deaths are increasing in number.1
We know the pneumonitis caused by varicella infection can lead to
respiratory failure that is often the cause of death in these
patients. Antiviral treatment may help in such patients, but only if
their severely compromised physiology can be adequately supported
until they recover.
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation has been reported to be used successfully
in cases of adult respiratory failure resulting from varicella
pneumonia and we would like to bring the results of such intervention
to the attention of Rawson et al.2-5 We
have treated 15 adults with this procedure for confirmed varicella
pneumonitis in Leicester between August 1992 and December 1999. These
15 patients had a mean age of 36 years (range 24-61), and were
significantly hypoxic on referral with a ratio of arterial oxygen
tension to fraction of inspired oxygen (PaO2/FiO2) of 8.09 kPa.
The overall survival rate in these patients was 60%. Of the
11 patients, however, we treated with venovenous extracorporeal
membrane oxygenation the survival rate was 75% (compared with zero
for the four patients treated with venoarterial extracorporeal
membrane oxygenation).
It seems likely, therefore, that this is a treatment that should be
considered for fulminant varicella pneumonitis, but the numbers
treated so far are too small to be sure of the effectiveness of this
invasive treatment. To resolve this uncertainty, currently all such
cases in the United Kingdom can be referred for entry into the CESAR
(conventional ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for
severe adult respiratory failure) trial. Suitable patients will be
randomised to receive either extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or
continued conventional ventilation. Further details about the trial
are available from www.cesar-trial.org.
Neil Roberts, clinical extra corporeal membrane
oxygenation fellow.
Heartlink Extra Corporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) Centre, Glenfield
Hospital, Leicester LE3 9QQ
Neilrob52@hotmail.com.
Giles J Peek, lecturer in cardiac surgery.
Division of Cardiac Surgery
ycq57@dial.pipex.com
Nikki Jones, research fellow in cardiac surgery.
Division of Cardiac Surgery
nikki.jones@uhl-tr.nhs.uk
Richard K Firmin, consultant cardiac surgeon.
Division of Cardiac Surgery
Diana Elbourne, head of medical statistics unit.
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London School of Hygiene, London
WC1E 7HT
| 1. |
Rawson H, Crampin A, Noah N. Deaths from chickenpox in
England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of routine mortality data. BMJ
2001; 323: 1091-1093[Abstract/Full
Text]. (10 November.)
|
| 2. |
Marriage S, Lyall EG, Nadel S, Britto J. Prolonged
extracorporeal life support for varicella pneumonia. Crit Care Med
1998; 26: 1138-1139[Medline].
|
| 3. |
Lee AW, Kolla S, Schreiner Jr RJ, Hirschl RB, Bartlett RH.
Prolonged extracorporeal life support (ECLS) for varicella pneumonia.
Crit Care Med 1997 Jun; 25: 977-982[Medline].
|
| 4. |
Claydon AH, Nicholson KG, Wiselka MJ, Firmin RK. Varicella
pneumonitis: a role for extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation? J Infect
1994; 28: 65-67[Medline].
|
| 5. |
Peek GJ, Moore HM, Moore N, Sosnowski AW, Firmin RK.
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for adult respiratory failure. Chest
1997; 112: 759-764[Abstract].
|
© BMJ 2002
Other related articles in BMJ:
- PAPERS
Deaths from chickenpox in England and Wales 1995-7: analysis of
routine mortality data.
- Helen Rawson, Amelia Crampin, and Norman Noah
BMJ 2001 323: 1091-1093.
[Abstract]
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