Please note that these are the personal opinions of the author and
do not necessarily represent those of AstraZeneca.
Buttered bread, odd socks and knotted rope urban myths or
scientific fact?
In 1884, James Payn, the celebrated Victorian novelist and satirist,
wrote [1]:
'I had never had a piece of toast Particularly long and wide
But fell upon the sanded floor And always on the buttered side.'
The propensity of buttered bread or toast to always land butter-side
down is probably the most famous of all the manifestations of what
is nowadays referred to as Murphy's or Sod's Law, defined in the
Chamber's English Dictionary as: 'the law that states that the
most inconvenient thing is the most likely to happen, or if there is
a possibility that something will go wrong, it will.'
Although many jokingly blame all their misadventures on the
existence of Murphy's Law, many scientists regard it as an old
wives' tale, an urban myth, lacking any basis in fact. This is where
they are wrong. Contrary to orthodox opinion, many of the
manifestations of the law have roots in statistics, rigid body
dynamics and other branches of physics; even its discoverer was a
real person.
Background
The history of the origin of the law is, like the law itself,
shrouded in myth. In a somewhat whimsical paper in 1967, Klipstein
[2] suggested that the discoverer was an
engineer named Edsel Murphy and that the reason why he is
practically unknown to other engineers and scientists is that he was
the victim of his own law. Destined for a secure place in the
engineering hall of fame, something went wrong. However, recent
research by Robert Matthews [3], the science
correspondent of The Sunday Telegraph (UK) and a regular
contributor to New Scientist and other publications, has
revealed that Murphy was, in fact, Edward A. Murphy, a US citizen
born in 1918 in Panama who graduated from the US Military Academy,
West Point (NY, USA), in 1940 and served as a pilot during the
19391945 war. Subsequently, he became a research and development
officer at the Wright-Patterson Air Force Base near Dayton (OH, USA)
where he was involved in a project to test the effects of rapid
deceleration on humans using a rocket sled. A harness fitted with
strain gauges had been developed to measure the forces on the
volunteers in the tests, and it was while testing in 1949 that it
was noted that after some apparently successful runs, the records
showed that the harness had failed to work properly. A detailed
investigation found that all the crucial wiring had been carried out
incorrectly. It was reported that Murphy, when he heard of this,
observed that if there was a way for a technician to make mistakes,
that would be the way things would be done. It was in a subsequent
press conference that this remark was amended and took on its
classical wording.
Murphy went on to have a distinguished career in the development of
pilot escape systems for the X15 rocket plane and the Apollo space
missions. In these, he came to view the 'law' as an excellent
philosophy for safety-critical engineering design and that all
designers should always try to foresee and counter the actions of
human blunders. However, when he died in 1990, Murphy's name was
destined to be associated with the perversity of everyday events
and, by failing to have his name associated with his own
interpretation of the law, he did unintentionally become its first
victim.
Buttered bread, odd socks and
knotted rope
Manifestations of Murphy's law are widespread. Klipstein
[2] actually lists well over 50 in engineering
alone. However, the most famous are also the most familiar: why rope
or string so often acquires knots; why there are so many odd socks;
why places on maps are so often in the most awkward places on the
page; why it fails to rain when one is carrying an umbrella; and,
undoubtedly the most famous of all, why buttered bread or toast so
often falls butter-side down.
In the case of buttered bread or toast, Matthews [4]
has shown that the problem is not what happens if the bread is
thrown up in the air, because here the result will always be similar
to that of tossing a coin, but what happens if the bread slides off
the edge of a table or plate at waist height. The key to the
dynamics and the state of the bread depends on whether the
gravitational torque is large enough to enable the bread to rotate
into a butter-up position in the time taken for it to free-fall
under gravity to the ground. By modelling the bread as a thin,
rigid, rough lamina, and solving the equations of motion, Matthews
was able to show that bread or toast sliding off a table or plate
really does have a bias towards butter-down landings, and that this
effect persists for all heights below 2.53.0 metres. The best hope
of combating Murphy's law of tumbling toast is to cut the sample
into squares of about 20 mm width or by giving it a large horizontal
velocity, for example, by giving it a swipe with the hand, to
minimize the rotation-inducing gravitational torque.
Matthews has applied similar scientific and mathematical analyses to
the other manifestations of Murphy's law. In the case of odd socks,
he has applied the theory of combinatorics (a branch of mathematics
dealing with the problems of packing, selection and permutation) to
show that the disappearance of socks is indeed heavily biased
towards the accumulation of odd socks [5]. In
the case of knotted rope, he has applied the concept of
self-avoiding random walks originally applied to the entanglement of
polymer chains to show that the phenomenon of spontaneous knotting
is well-founded [6]. In fact, in all the cases
Matthews has studied, he has shown that there is a totally rational
explanation and that there are ways of combating the effects
[3].
Indeed there is now ample evidence that Murphy's law does in fact
have a basis and that a whole range of everyday phenomena do have a
bias towards the worst possible outcome. Robert Burns was
scientifically correct when he wrote in his poem 'To a mouse' in
1786:
'The best laid schemes o' mice an' men Gang aft agley.'
References
[1] Sherrin N. (Ed) (1995) A Dictionary of
Humorous Quotations. (pp. 121) : Oxford University Press
[2] Klipstein D.L. (1967) The contributions
of Edsel Murphy to the understanding of the behavior of inanimate
objects. Electron. Eng., 15:91-92.
[3] Matthews R.A.J. (1999) The Science of
Murphy's law. Proc. R. Inst., 70:75-95.
[4] Matthews R.A.J. (1995) Tumbling toast,
Murphy's law and the fundamental constants. Eur. J. Phys., 16:172-176.
[5] Matthews, R.A.J. (1997) Odd socks: a
combinatoric example of Murphy's law. Math. Today March,
3941
[6] Matthews, R.A.J. (1997) Knotted rope: a
topological example of Murphy's law. Math. Today June, 8284
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