A global effort on health could inspire, unite, and
produce substantial improvement
The life expectancy of the 642 million people in sub-Saharan Africa is
51 years, 27 years less than that of those who livein rich
countries. Mortality among those aged under 5 is 25 timeshigher in
Africa than in rich countries. The World Health Organization's
Commission on Macroeconomics and Health, which reported at theend of
2001, estimates that by 2010 about 8 million lives a yearcould be
saved in low income countries by investing large sumsand acting
through simple and effective interventions. 12 But will it happen? The rich countries have a
poor record in fulfillingtheir promises to poor countries.
Nevertheless, a small groupof people with considerable influence on
global health who metrecently in California agreed that the lives
might be saved. Raisingexpectations too high could lead to huge
disappointment, but theopportunities for substantial improvement in
global health areprobably better now than at any time in the past 20years.
Perhaps because of the report of the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health
health is "fashionable" with world leaders ina way that it never has
been before. Some 60 world leadersincludingboth Fidel Castro and George Bushvied
with each other to emphasisetheir commitment to health at the recent
meeting on developmentfinancing in Monterrey, Mexico. The general
assembly of the UnitedNations for the first time last year devoted a
session to a healthtopicHIV
and AIDS. The last four summit meetings of the G8 (therich
countries' club) have included more debates on infectiousdisease
than on nuclearsafety.
The interest of world leaders in health is being driven by increasing
recognition that investment in health is a motor fordevelopment and
that global health and global security are inextricablyintertwined.
The Commission on Macroeconomics and Health was dominatedby
economists and financiers, not health expertsso
giving greatercredibility to its conclusion that an investment of
$119bn (£158bn)in health each year by 2015 will produce a return of
$360bn ayear. It will do this by saving lives, allowing people to be
economicallyproductive, and by spurring economic growth through a
varietyof mechanisms including a faster demographic transition to
lowerfertility rates, higher investments in human capital, increasedhousehold saving, increased foreign investment, and greater socialand macroeconomic stability.1 The evidence
base for some ofthis is weak,2 but few
dissent from the fundamental notionthat investment in health is not
"a nice extra" but essentialfor economic growth. Certainly, no
investment in health is likelyto mean nogrowth.
Rich countries as well as poor countries would benefit from this economic
growth. Some of the thinking that led to the commissionwas that both
rich donors and governments of poor countries wouldbe more likely to
invest in health if what might be called "abusiness plan" showed
economic return. Since the commission began,however, and since the
attacks of September 11 the world has cometo worry as much about
security as about economic growth. Thereis as yet no commission on
global security and health, but securityexperts are concerned about
health, particularly AIDS, malaria,and drug resistant tuberculosis.
The United States, which givesa much lower proportion of its gross
national product in aid thanany other rich country, may well be
persuaded to increase aidby anxieties about its own security. This
has already begun, andas one contributor to the California meeting
said: "I'd much ratherthey gave me aid because they feared me rather
than pitied me."But then again, if security is the reason for giving
aid the moneymay well not go to those who suffer the most but rather
to thosewho present the biggestthreat.
The commission's formula for improving health is in essence investment by
both rich countries and poor countries plus reform.There is often
debate about which should come first with the poorcountries
preferring money from the rich and the rich favouringreform in the
poor countries. The commission concludes that bothare needed
simultaneously, but much of the world's current inadequateaid is
unspent, and too many of the world's poorest countriesare run by
gangsters who care little for their people, particularlywomen and
children. Little satisfaction is to be had from watchinga corrupt
government use aid to feed its soldiers to keep thecorrupt in power.
Aid, just like medicines, can sometimes makeproblems worse rather
than better. Some countries are in suchdisarray that little can be
achieved. The chances, for example,of rolling back malaria in Sierra
Leone in the next five yearsare probably non-existent, whereas much
might be achieved in morestable countries such as Ghana or Tanzania.
Should aid thereforebe given first to such countries? These are
difficultquestions.
One never ending debate in international health is how much should be spent
on sector wide reform, trying to improve the wholehealth system, and
how much on specific (vertical) programmesaimed at producing
improvement with particular problemsperhapsAIDS or malaria. Again, both are needed. Vertical programmes willbe unsustainable without well functioning healthcare systems,
but vertical programmes on, for example, immunisation can achievea
great deal rapidly. A related debate is how much money shouldbe
channelled through existing United Nations organisations, suchas the
WHO, and how much through new initiatives such as the GlobalFund to
Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria.3 Ironically,the WHO, which founded the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health,is not trusted by many governments of rich countries because it
can be held captive politically. Politics gave it a poor leaderfor
many years, and politics has led to silly decisions in itsAfrican
regionover, for
example, the placing of the regionaloffice. Reform is needed not
only in poor countries but also ininternational
organisations.
Globalisation, concluded the commission, is on trial. It may mean the rich
continuing to neglect and exploit the poor, spendinghuge amounts on
their own defences to keep out the poor, and allowingdeterioration
in global health and further environmental degradation.In that case,
riots will continue at the meetings of global leaders,and the world
may become steadily more unpleasant for all of us,rich and poor.
Alternatively, globalisation through increasingopenness and
recognition of interdependence could lead to dramaticreductions in
poverty and improvements in health. Finding politicalcommitment to
use the best of modern science and technology andthe huge wealth of
the rich world to improve health would, saysthe commission, inspire
and unite peoples all over theworld.
People present at the California meeting on global health included Richard
Feachem (director, Institute for Global Health,San Francisco, and a
member of the Commission on Macroeconomicsand Health), Julio Frenk
(minister of health, Mexico, and oneof the people who set up the
commission in his time at the WHO),Geeta Rao Gupta (president,
International Centre for Researchon Women), James Orbinski (past
president, Médecins Sans Frontieres),and Nafis Sadik (former
executive director, United Nations PopulationFund). Since the
meeting Richard Feachem has become the head ofthe Global Fund.4
World Health Organization. Macroeconomics and health:
investing in health for economic development. Report of the commission on
macroeconomics and health. Geneva: WHO, 2001.
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