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news keeps getting worse about the value of hormone replacement therapies for
postmenopausal women. Less than three months ago an international panel
concluded that there was little evidence to support many of the presumed
benefits of the treatments. Now federal health officials have halted a large
study of hormone replacement therapy because the regimen used, a combination of
estrogen and progestin, was doing more harm than good when taken for several
years. The action has been met with shock and disbelief by many women and their
doctors.
The danger to any individual woman appears very slight. But this discouraging
saga offers a sobering lesson in how aggressive marketing by the drug industry
and a fervent desire for medical miracles on the part of patients and doctors
can propel use of a drug far beyond that justified by scientific data.
Hormone therapies were originally approved to treat the symptoms of
menopause, such as hot flashes and night sweats, a purpose for which they are
unquestionably effective. But many women take them for years to enhance a
feeling of well-being or in the belief they can help prevent some of the
ailments of old age. But the federal study that has now been halted, a
rigorously controlled trial involving more than 16,000 healthy women, has made
it clear that prolonged use can be somewhat risky. The estrogen-progestin
combination caused a slight increase in breast cancer, heart attacks, strokes
and blood clots, with the heart attack risk starting in the first year of
treatment. This damage outweighed a small beneficial effect in reducing hip
fractures and colon cancers.
No woman need panic over these findings. The scientific directors of the
study stress that the drugs increased a woman's risk of contracting breast
cancer the finding of most concern by less than a tenth of a percent per
year, a tiny amount. But if the drugs are taken by millions of women over
several years, the risk translates into tens of thousands of cases of breast
cancer or cardiovascular disease, a clear public health concern.
The federal study has reached no judgment yet on the pluses and minuses of
taking estrogen alone, the course of therapy for eight million American women
who have had hysterectomies. That portion of the trial will continue.
The emerging medical consensus seems to be that long-term use of the
estrogen-progestin therapy is questionable, particularly for purposes where
alternative drugs are available, such as the prevention of osteoporosis and hip
fractures. But short-term use to ease the symptoms of menopause, a purpose not
tested in the aborted federal study, may well remain justified. That would
return the combination drug to the narrow purpose it originally had before the
marketing juggernaut and professional word of mouth, buttressed by scientific
studies that are now shown to be wrong, propelled it to superstar status.
The promotional blitz over the years has made hormone replacement therapy
sound like a virtual fountain of youth. As Melody Petersen and Gina Kolata
reported in yesterday's Times, the drug company Wyeth financed a best-selling
1966 book, "Feminine Forever," that kicked off the promotional boom for estrogen
as a hormone that could keep women young, healthy and attractive, according to
the author's son. More recently, Lauren Hutton, the supermodel featured in Wyeth
ads, told Parade magazine that estrogen is "good for your moods, it's good for
your skin," making it sound like a beauty treatment and anti-aging elixir.
One bright spot at this time when desperate drug companies are hyping their
products beyond reason and when the corporate and financial worlds seem
enmeshed in shady dealings was the impeccable integrity of this well-designed
scientific study. The findings could not have been pleasing to Wyeth, the
manufacturer of the drug combination being tested, whose shares plunged sharply
on the news. But the National Institutes of Health and the researchers
themselves had no qualms about terminating the study and announcing the results
for the benefit of patients and their doctors. If only the business world could
be so forthcoming.
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-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
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"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
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