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BLFisher Note:  Frombonne is whistling in the dark. Any parent who has dealt with the education system in the US knows that, because of the costs to taxpayers associated with providing special services to a disabled child, only the most conservative criteria is applied to labeling a child “autistic” or “learning disabled.” During the past two decades, schools have become so inundated with autistic children, they can’t build and staff special education classrooms fast enough. There is no question there is an epidemic of autism and other kinds of neuroimmune dysfunction in our children. The medical establishment, charged with maintaining the public health, simply can’t deal with it and denial is the easiest recourse.

http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20010206/hl/autism_1.html

Tuesday February 6 1:18 PM ET

Autism ‘Epidemic’ Based on Data Misinterpretation

By Suzanne Rostler

 

NEW YORK (Reuters Health) - The rise in the number of reported cases of autism over the past 30 years was caused by doctors adopting a broader definition of the disease and using better diagnostic tools, a scientist reports.

His letter in the February issue of Pediatrics disputes the widely held notion that rates of autism have soared to epidemic proportions, a belief that is based on misinterpretations of data.

“The debate on the hypothesis of a secular increase in rates of autism would benefit from a clear recognition of the methodologic limitations of existing data,” writes Dr. Eric Fombonne, from the Institute of Psychiatry in London, UK.

The so-called epidemic of autism has prompted investigators to search for a cause. While some studies have suggested that a vaccine routinely given to infants may be responsible, others have found no association between the measles/mumps/rubella (MMR) vaccine and autism.

The notion that MMR vaccine could cause autism was fueled in part by a study by Dr. Andrew Wakefield and colleagues from the Royal Free Hospital, London, UK, which suggested a possible link between the MMR vaccine, chronic inflammatory bowel disease and autism.

But more recent trials have failed to support such an association. Last month, the largest study conducted to date concluded that the vaccine is not linked to a higher risk of autism.

Still, many parents remain fearful that the vaccine could be unsafe.

“There is no real information linking vaccines to what causes autism,” Dr.  Luke Tsai, a professor of psychiatry and pediatrics at the University of Michigan Medical Center in Ann Arbor, told Reuters Health. “We just don’t know at this point what causes it; that is the main problem.”

He said that if the disease was caused by a vaccine, “we would see hundreds of thousands of kids with autism. And we don’t.”

Autism is a neurological disorder that impairs language development and prevents patients from socializing normally. It typically appears during the first 3 years of life and affects 1 in 500 people, according to the Autism Society of America.

Tsai and other researchers concede that the number of children diagnosed with the disorder has indeed increased. But they point out that there has also been a rise in the numbers of children who are diagnosed with a host of developmental, speech and learning disorders. Like autism, many these disorders arise for reasons that currently elude researchers.

But the idea that rates of autism have soared is based in large part on a report by the Department of Developmental Services from California, whose data have been mishandled, Fombonne explains.

“This report was flawed with methodological errors and weaknesses which were not detected,” he said.

First, the conclusion that autism has reached epidemic proportions is based on numbers and not rates. It does not take into account increasing populations, Fombonne notes.

Further, researchers made no attempt to account for changing diagnostic criteria used over the years. Nor does the data reflect the fact that children are now diagnosed at a much earlier age than 30 years ago, he writes.

“Prevalence data nevertheless point to the magnitude of the problem, which had clearly been underestimated in the past. But there is no need to raise false alarms on putative epidemics nor to practice poor science to draw the attention to the unmet needs of large numbers of seriously impaired children and adults,” Fombonne states.

SOURCE: Pediatrics 2001;107:411-413.

 

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