http://bmj.com/cgi/content/full/324/7331/239

 

BMJ 2002;324:239 ( 26 January )

Letters

Quinacrine in possible or probable CJD

    If you had suspected CJD would you be indifferent between placebo and quinacrine?
    It is blinded investigators, not patients, who must be in equipoise over treatment

If you had suspected CJD would you be indifferent between placebo and quinacrine?

EDITOR---After the apparent recovery of a patient with suspected variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease when she was treated with quinacrine, the Department of Health is reported as planning a clinical trial to evaluate the drug's effectiveness as a potential treatment for the disease.1 Should an ethics committee approve such a trial?

There is clearly considerable uncertainty about the effect of quinacrine in variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease and other prion diseases,2 but we find it almost inconceivable that a rational patient with suspected prion disease would be in equipoise---that is, indifferent---between quinacrine and placebo. The side effects of quinacrine are well known and are comparatively minor over a wide dose range; the drug penetrates the blood-brain barrier moderately well and has high activity against prions in vitro and in some animal studies.3

Prion diseases are invariably fatal when untreated. The balance of risks and benefits is clearly in favour of taking quinacrine (which is cheap and easily available). Any patient prepared to be randomised in a trial of quinacrine versus placebo is likely not to have understood properly what the implications are. Such a trial should not, therefore, be sponsored at present, or be approved by ethics committees. It has already been recognised that recruiting patients would be difficult, if not impossible.4

The alternative to a randomised trial is a "historically controlled trial." Although diagnosis is tricky, patients classified by the National Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease Surveillance Unit in Edinburgh as having possible Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease are thought to have a 50-60% chance of having the disease. Those classified as having probable Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease are thought to have a 95% or greater chance of having the disease (R Knight, National Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease Surveillance Unit, personal communication).

An ethically acceptable approach would be to offer quinacrine to all patients classified as having possible or probable Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease. It will quickly become apparent, even allowing for the potential biases that can arise from using historical controls, whether quinacrine is preventing the deaths of a large proportion of patients with the disease.

If quinacrine is preventing deaths then trials comparing doses, or combinations of quinacrine and other drugs, could proceed. If, however, it is clearly not saving a majority of patients---for example, if the first 50 patients treated follow courses only a little better than those of historical controls---then the balance of risks and benefits for patients becomes much more equal. Only when an ethics committee judges that fully informed, rational patients would be prepared to enter a trial is it reasonable to allow a trial to proceed.5

David Braunholtz, senior research fellow
D.A.Braunholtz@Bham.ac.uk

Judith Harris, research associate
Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT



1.

In Brief: Treatment trial for Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease announced. BMJ 2001; 323: 650. (22 September.)

2.

Lilford RJ, Djulbegovic B. Equipoise and uncertainty principle are not mutually exclusive. BMJ 2001; 322: 795[Full Text]. (31 March.)

3.

Korth C, May BCH, Cohen FE, Prusiner SB. Acridine and phenothiazine derivatives as pharmacotherapeutics for prion disease. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2001; 98: 9836-9841[Abstract/Full Text].

4.

Young E. First vCJD clinical trial to begin. NewScientist.com News Archive. (www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99991307.)

5.

Edwards SJL, Lilford RJ, Braunholtz DA, Thornton J, Jackson J, Hewison J. Ethical issues in the design and conduct of randomised controlled trials. Health Technology Assessment 1998; 2: 1-96.


It is blinded investigators, not patients, who must be in equipoise over treatment

EDITOR---Is there not a fundamental misunderstanding about double blind trials in the title of Braunholtz et al's letter about Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (bmj.com/cgi/eletters/323/7314/650 and printed here, above)? And a misunderstanding about the meaning of "equipoise"? The authors say, "We find it almost inconceivable that a rational patient with suspected prion disease would be in equipoise . . . between quinacrine and placebo."

What one agrees to is not to take a placebo but to take a treatment with a 50% chance of containing an active ingredient that might be of value. In this way one submits to an unknown fate, but not without hope; one trusts that the blinded investigators are in equipoise as to the risk of alternative fates for your life. A proposed trial of quinacrine seems to meet that criterion.

Ed Cooper, consultant paediatrician
Newham General Hospital, London E13 8SL Ed.Cooper@nhspeople.net


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NEWS
In brief.

BMJ 2001 323: 650. [Full text]  

 

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