Smallpox is an ancient scourge, but it is the more modern curse of
international terrorism that has brought this infectious disease back into
the nightmares of those charged with protecting public health and safety. In
the post 9/11 era, prudent policy dictates that such concerns be taken
seriously.
In announcing a program for mass vaccination of military, public safety
and medical personnel, President Bush has charted a middle course between
complacency and vigilance. His easiest option, but perhaps the most
dangerous, would have been to hold to the status quo, the belief that death
and disfigurement from smallpox belong firmly in the past.
The disturbing truth is: Nobody really knows for sure. The last case of
smallpox in the United States was reported in 1949; the last naturally
occurring case in the world was in Somalia in 1977. The virus was said to be
eliminated in 1980, except for stocks kept in a few laboratories.
But perhaps one of those laboratories is in Iraq, or is operated by some
shadowy terrorist group. As the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
says on its Web site, "We cannot quantify the threat that smallpox would be
used as a bioweapon, but we do know that the consequences of its use could
be great." As for Iraq, it says: "It is possible, but not confirmed, that
Iraq possesses the virus that causes smallpox."
That assessment may be as good as it gets -- and undoubtedly it won't be
good enough for some who will see the vaccination directive as a costly
(and, for a few individuals, dangerous) overreaction. But the administration
has, in fact, come up with a balanced policy in dealing with the potential
threat. Although enough vaccine has been stockpiled to vaccinate every
American, it is not recommended that everyone receive the shot.
In this wise way, potential side-effects in the general population are
kept to a minimum and the nature of the threat is kept in perspective.
Although ordinary citizens can be vaccinated if they insist on it (although
not immediately), the federal government has rightly made America's
front-line personnel the priority -- members of the military, hospital
workers and police, firefighters and paramedics. The Allegheny County Health
Department will do its part, expecting to vaccinate as many as 10,000
people. They will be part of some 11 million Americans who are expected to
be vaccinated by next year.
Statistically some adverse reactions are sure to occur, but in the scheme
of things they should be few and the benefit accruing to the security to
public health will be great. Judging that trade-off is the eternal dilemma
facing authorities whose duty is to protect a mass population.
As it is, exaggerated fears about the process are contradicted by the
fading signs of smallpox vaccinations on the arms of older Americans who
once routinely received them. As an act of reassurance, President Bush has
volunteered to be one of those vaccinated.
Never before has such a program been undertaken in the name of "homeland
security." But if the administration has erred at all, it is on the side of
caution -- and that is no bad thing. At the very least, the evil ambitions
of America's enemies have been limited.