A major pre-requisite for polio-free certification by the World
Health Organization is that the local surveillance system
successfully detects one case of non-polio acute flaccid paralysis
(AFP) per 100 000 children below 15 years of age per annum and that
no cases of polio occur for three consecutive years. Mpumalanga, a
rural province in the northeast of South Africa, implemented an
enhanced surveillance system, which consisted of training hospital
ICNs to rapidly report and correctly respond to nine infectious
disease syndromes, including AFP. Weekly zero reporting is a
component of the system. The non-polio AFP reporting rate per
100 000 children below the age of 15 years increased from 0.56 in
1997 to 0.91 in 1998 after introduction of the enhanced surveillance
system, with more than 80% of the units reporting weekly. All units
reported weekly from April 1999 to December 2001. Although non-polio
AFP reporting rates were 0.27 (1999), 1.18 (2000) and 0.87 (2001),
the 95% binomial exact confidence intervals for all years included 1
per 100 000. A review of paediatric admissions from January 1998 to
December 2001 at all hospitals revealed that only five AFP cases had
been missed by the enhanced surveillance system. The low
international AFP reference rate and attendant variation expected
due to chance, particularly in areas with relatively small
populations, is an important factor that deserves more attention as
we approach global polio eradication.
Affiliations
1Communicable Disease Control,
Mpumalanga Department of Health, South Africa
2School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, James Cook
University, Australia 3Department of Family
Medicine and Primary Health Care, Medical University of Southern
Africa, South Africa
To cite
this article Harris, Bernice N, Dürrheim, David N &
Ogunbanjo, Gboyega A
Polio eradication - the validity of surveillance indicators. Tropical Medicine & International Health8 (5), 386-391. doi: 10.1046/
j.1365-3156.2003.01048.x
DISCLAIMER: All
information, data, and material contained, presented, or provided here is for
general information purposes only and is not to be construed as reflecting the
knowledge or opinions of the publisher, and is not to be construed or intended
as providing medical or legal advice. The decision whether or not to vaccinate
is an important and complex issue and should be made by you, and you alone, in
consultation with your health care provider.
"A foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth."
-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
"I know of no safe depository of the ultimate powers of the society but the people themselves, and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to William C. Jarvis, September 28, 1820
"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
-- Sandy Gottstein
"Who gets to decide what the greater good is and how many will be sacrificed to it?"