The strategy for the global campaign to eradicate polio by the
end of 2005 is being changed in response to a resurgence of the
paralytic disease in India, Pakistan and Nigeria, officials
announced yesterday.
The campaign, now in its 15th year, will concentrate its efforts
and limited money on those three countries and 10 others where the
polio virus in still in circulation, or was until recently. That, in
turn, will require cutting back activity in 80 countries that as
recently as last year were the target of intensive polio vaccination
efforts.
The number of polio cases worldwide jumped to 1,919 last year --
nearly a six-fold increase from the 2001 total of 329. India
accounted for 1,556 cases, almost all in two northern states.
Pakistan and Nigeria had smaller increases.
"This shift . . . entails massively shifting preventive
immunization activities to key geographic areas," said Gina Tambini,
a representative of the World Health Organization, at a news
conference in Washington yesterday. WHO officials also held
briefings in Tokyo, Geneva and Brussels to announce the change.
In India, vaccination teams have been able to reach only 80 to 85
percent of young children, even during special "immunization days,"
when tens of thousands of volunteers fan out to deliver polio
vaccine village to village and house to house. In regions beset by
poverty, crowding and poor sanitation, that leaves an unvaccinated
population big enough to allow the virus to circulate indefinitely.
The eradication campaign is already five years behind schedule.
The last infection was supposed to have been found no later than the
end of 2000. The self-imposed deadline is now the end of 2005.
Only one human disease -- smallpox -- has ever been eradicated.
The last naturally occurring case of that viral infection occurred
in Somalia in 1977. (A laboratory accident in England the next year
infected several other people.) One other infection, guinea worm
disease (dracunculiasis), is on the path to eradication.
The main tool of the polio campaign is an oral vaccine that
contains a weakened strain of the virus. It causes an infection,
which in all but a few cases is harmless, that stimulates immunity
against more dangerous strains. In many countries, at least three
doses of vaccine are given in an infant's first year, and additional
doses are given during immunization days in which every child
younger than 5 is targeted.
However, polio is proving unusually difficult to eradicate. One
reason is that, unlike smallpox, which causes a dramatic rash, most
polio infections are invisible.
Only about 1 in 200 infected people suffers muscle weakness,
paralysis or death. A single symptomatic case implies that hundreds
of people nearby are carrying the virus, which is excreted in feces
during the infection.
Last year, 93 countries held a total of 266 national or regional
immunization days as part of the eradication effort. Under the new
strategy, there will be 51 this year in 13 countries.
The countries include seven where polio is still being found --
India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Egypt, Afghanistan, Niger and Somalia --
and six at high risk of its return -- Angola, Bangladesh, Democratic
Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Nepal and Sudan.
Routine polio immunization will continue everywhere in the world.
However, 297 million doses of vaccine earmarked for regional or
national immunization days in dozens of countries will now be
shifted to the target regions.
The "immunization days" actually last from two to six days each,
and they constitute the largest public health events in history. In
January 2002, for example, 163 million children in India were given
oral polio vaccine in less than a week.
The number of national and regional immunization days held in
India has fallen in recent years -- from six in 2000 to three last
year.
"It caught up to us when we didn't continue that intensity," said
Robert A. Keegan of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, which helps run the campaign.
Efforts in India have been hampered in part by low vaccination
rates among children of the large Muslim minority in the north. Part
of the new strategy includes adding more local Muslim women to the
vaccination teams and seeking the support of clerics.
Leaders of the eradication effort said the announcement doesn't
mean the effort is in jeopardy.
"This is a tremendously successful initiative," said Tambini, who
heads family and community health for the Pan American Health
Organization, which represents WHO in the Americas.
"We're at the point where it just absolutely must come to pass.
We've contributed our lifeblood to this effort," said William T.
Sergeant of Rotary International. Rotary members from 30,000 clubs
around the world have raised or contributed $510 million for polio
eradication in the past 15 years. The service organization is
nearing the end of a one-year campaign to raise an additional $80
million.
The global campaign is $275 million short of what it expects to
need to finish the campaign over the next 21/2 years, the officials
said.