Health professionals in Ontario
have been debating a deeply subversive proposition
as to how to deal with children and their risks
from mosquito-borne West Nile virus.
"It has
been suggested at a couple of meetings that I was
at: 'Forget the kids. If they get infected
earlier, if they get sick, they are not likely to
have serious consequences, and they are protected
for the rest of their life.' This has been the
experiences of the endemic countries," said Colin
D'Cunha, Ontario's chief medical officer of
health.
The underlying rationale for the
counterintuitive thinking is the very lumpy
epidemiology of the disease. It is not as if
children never come down with West Nile
disease, but rather that they hardly ever do. In
the United States, as of November, 2002, the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
reported that children under 9 made up only about
1 per cent of the 2,354 cases in which there was
any kind of serious infection.
There were, in fact, more people over 90 who
contracted the serious, brain-swelling form of the
illness than there were under 10. The mortality
statistics were even more skewed.
None of the 201 people who died in the United
States was younger than 24.
In Canada the numbers are much the same.
Last year, of the 400 people in Ontario who
came down with a serious form of West Nile
disease, only six were younger than 20. Most were
older than 10. None of the 17 people who died in
Ontario -- there were 18 in the entire country --
was under age 20.
All of which leads to the argument that it
could be better to be infected early with a mild
case of the illness -- especially if that
protection will last you for life. It is a way of
thinking, point out experts, that often prevailed
before vaccines were available. At measles or
mumps "parties," parents tried to expose their
children to these illnesses.
"There are quite a few examples of viruses that
are much worse for adults than children. Mumps is
one. You run the risk of sterility in adults which
are postpuberty, which never happens in
pre-puberty," says Earl Brown, a professor of
virology at the University of Ottawa.
Rita Shahin, an associate medical officer of
health in Toronto, said she agrees that a West
Nile infection is not as serious in children as it
is in adults. "The younger you are, the milder the
illness," she said yesterday.
But Dr. Shahin's department is still warning
parents to take precautions such as reducing
standing water on their property "so that the
whole family doesn't get exposed." And it is a
good idea to avoid being outside at dusk and dawn
when mosquitoes are most prevalent, and to wear
long pants and use repellents when you're in an
area where you might be bitten.
No one, in fact, is quite willing at present to
tell people to let the mosquitoes do their
damnedest to their kids. Part of this has to do
with the still unknown nature of the illness.
In the Middle East, where it is endemic, the
effects are quite mild. In North America, the
effects are more dire. Maybe a natural immunity
has developed in the Middle East, or maybe the
virus has mutated and become more virulent here,
says Prof. Brown.
"In the Middle East it is probably good to let
children get it early and get more protection . .
. but I would be a bit nervous about the logic of
that here because the virus may be doing something
we don't really yet know about."
When asked about the wisdom of letting nature
take its biting course, Andrew Simor, head of
microbiology at Sunnybrook and Women's College
Health Sciences Centre in Toronto, first answered:
"Good question. I don't have an answer to that
one."
Then he backed up a bit. "I don't think parents
should deliberately go out and infect their
children -- that would be rash -- but I don't
think that parents should be overconcerned because
the risk is so small for children developing
serious forms of the disease."
In everyone's mind, overriding what might turn
out to be a long-term general health benefit is
the fact that any sick child evinces a greater
sympathy than that of a sick, aged, and infirmed
adult.
"If only two nine-year-olds in the entire
province become ill, their parents would say, 'You
said it was 100 per cent safe and it wasn't.' You
understand my challenge. What I am supposed to say
to them?" Dr. D'Cunha said.