Polio eradication is within our grasp and, unless something terribly wrong and
unexpected happens, the three types of wild polioviruses will cease to circulate
in human populations within the next few years. This achievement will be a
result of the rational use of OPV. A momentous global decision--discontinuation
of vaccination--will then have to be taken. The most important uncertainty that
will weigh upon that decision is whether wild polioviruses can re-emerge after
"eradication" defined as "complete interruption of wild polioviruses
transmission", has been obtained. It is important to realise that "eradication"
does not mean "extinction" in the sense that the dodo is extinct. After
eradication, wild polioviruses will still lurk in laboratory specimens and in
protected environmental sites (like glaciers) and may even "re-emerge" by back
mutation or recombination of Sabin-derived strains that may continue to
circulate even after OPV use is discontinued. Theoretically, the risk of
re-emergence of wild polioviruses would be lessened if IPV was used for a number
of years to immunise all those born after cessation of OPV usage. But the
question is "by how much?". Vaccination with IPV will reduce the risk that
persistent OPV-derived strains (e.g. in immunodeficient patients) will have the
chance to establish permanent transmission after vaccination is totally
discontinued. However, the risk of re-emergence will not be changed since this
will be determined by the risk of accidental re-introduction. Whether the
expense of switching completely from OPV to IPV globally can be justified will
depend upon the relative risks of wild poliovirus re-emergence from either
OPV-derived sources or other environmental sources including "escape" of
virulent seed viruses from IPV production facilities. This balance of
probabilities and risks will be very difficult to determine. In any case, it is
likely that the decision to upscale IPV production to required levels has
already been delayed too long so that polio eradication will be achieved by the
use of OPV in developed as well as in less developed countries that cannot
afford to use IPV at a high enough vaccine coverage rate to make it safe. Wild
poLiovirus transmission has been interrupted with OPV in the Western Hemisphere.
There is no reason why this cannot be done in the rest of the world. In
industrialized countries that can afford it and where vaccine coverage is
sufficient to prevent wild virus circulation, IPV, in combined vaccines, will be
increasingly used. Let us hope that politicians in developing countries and
zealous ethicists in the developed world will understand why, in the present and
foreseeable future circumstances, OPV is better than IPV in the poorer countries
and will not demand, in the name of equity in health, a total switch to IPV. For
eradication, IPV cannot, and hopefully need not, replace OPV. At this stage it
should not.
DISCLAIMER:
All information, data, and material contained, presented, or provided here
is for general information purposes only and is not to be construed as
reflecting the knowledge or opinions of the publisher, and is not to be
construed or intended as providing medical or legal advice. The decision
whether or not to vaccinate is an important and complex issue and should
be made by you, and you alone, in consultation with your health care
provider.
"A foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth."
-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
"I know of no safe depository of the ultimate powers of the society but the people themselves, and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to William C. Jarvis, September 28, 1820
"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
-- Sandy Gottstein
"Who gets to decide what the greater good is and how many will be sacrificed to it?"