The surge in autism that fuelled fears of a link with the MMR vaccine may
never have occurred.
Researchers say the huge increase in incidence seen since 1979 may simply be
the result of more awareness and better record keeping.
Professor Brent Taylor and colleagues from the Royal Free and University
College Medical School in London argue the apparent rise is not "real" and goes
hand-in-hand with the MMR scare.
Writing in the Archives of Disease in Childhood, they said the increase in
incidence was probably due to "increased recognition, a greater willingness to
accept the diagnostic label, and better recording systems".
In 2001, the Autism Research Unit at the University of Sunderland reported a
tenfold increase in autism rates over the previous decade.
This and other findings have heightened fears the autism might be linked to
the measles, mumps, rubella multiple vaccine.
Government health experts insist there is no proven link, and warned parents
not to put their children at risk by refusing to give them the MMR jab.
The new findings are based on a follow-up of 567 London autistic children
born between 1979 and 1998.
The children had been the subject of previous research by Professor Taylor's
team which indicated that the numbers of new cases had increased year-on-year
between 1979 and 1992.
But later data collected by the researchers showed that this rise had
stopped. The most recent figures revealed a levelling out of 45 to 50 reported
cases a year between 1992 and 1996 - equivalent to 2.6 cases for every 1,000
live births. The age at which children were diagnosed with autism had also been
falling since 1985.
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"A foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth."
-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
"I know of no safe depository of the ultimate powers of the society but the people themselves, and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to William C. Jarvis, September 28, 1820
"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
-- Sandy Gottstein
"Who gets to decide what the greater good is and how many will be sacrificed to it?"