From Africa to North America
Monkeypox Illustrates Emerging Infections Threat
Smallpox vaccine suggested for exposed kids.
Timothy F. Kirn Sacramento Bureau
Like severe acute respiratory syndrome and West Nile virus before it, the
monkeypox virus outbreak in the upper Midwest offered more evidence that
emerging infectious diseases no longer respect national, or even continental,
boundaries.
Monkeypox has government officials on edge, even though the virus seems to be
less contagious than some other viral diseases such as measles and smallpox, and
it appears that human populations alone cannot sustain transmission. The basic
problem is that there's no telling what can happen when a virus enters a new
environment.
We're always very concerned with any new infectionI mean, this is an era of
emerging infectious diseases, said Dr. Stephen M. Ostroff, deputy director of
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Infectious
Diseases. Whenever you have a new virus being introduced into an ecosystem
where it's not been present before, you have to be very concerned about the
public health threat.
That is particularly true when the virus can cause severe illness and can set
itself up in a local animal host, as is the case with the West Nile virus, Dr.
Ostroff added.
The monkeypox virus was apparently brought to this country by a Gambian giant
pouched rat imported by a Chicago-area exotic pets dealer. But the cases of
human disease have come from contact with animals indigenous to North America:
prairie dogs that were exposed to the rat and, in at least one case, a rabbit.
In Africa, the virus was first isolated from a monkey, but the major vector
appears to be the squirrel.
As the number of suspected U.S. cases of monkeypox climbed to 87 (in six
states), the CDC recommended that persons who have had close or intimate contact
with symptomatic individuals or animals confirmed to have monkeypox should
receive the smallpox vaccine (including children, pregnant women, and persons
with eczema), ideally within 4 days of exposure. Also, bans were imposed on
importation and transportation of rodents from Africa and the sale or movement
of prairie dogs.
Twenty-eight children at a day care facility in Indiana were potentially exposed
to two prairie dogs that later became ill and died; 12 (43%) of the children
said they had held or pet the prairie dogs, and 7 (25%) of the children later
became ill with symptoms consistent with monkeypox infection. Laboratory
evaluation of these children is in progress, according to the CDC.
Any physician who sees a febrile individual or an individual with a rash should
ask about exposure to small mammals, particularly prairie dogs or Gambian rats,
the CDC recommended. If a suspected patient is seen in a medical setting,
infection control personnel should be notified and standard precautions should
be taken, including protection against direct contact and airborne transmission.
The possibility of human-to-human transmission in some cases cannot be excluded
at this time, the CDC said at press time.
Those recommendations seem prudent but may be subject to change, Dr. Ostroff
noted. With so many open questions about how the U.S. outbreak may unfold, we
have to keep a relatively open mind, he said. We don't have all the
information.
Much of what is known about monkeypox comes from two studies in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo (DRC, formerly Zaire). The virus, an orthopoxvirus, was
first identified in 1970. Since 1983, when smallpox vaccination was halted,
sporadic outbreaks of monkeypox have occurred in rain forest regions of Central
and West Africa. Smallpox vaccine is considered 85% protective against
monkeypox.
The first study, which examined 338 probable cases that occurred between 1981
and 1986, suggested that the case fatality rate was 10% for persons not
inoculated with vaccinia vaccine. The secondary attack rate in unvaccinated
household members was 9.3%. The researchers concluded that transmission by a
person who acquired the infection from another person was rare, implying that
the virus cannot be sustained in human populations.
The second study was undertaken in 1997 by experts from the CDC and the World
Health Organization, following an outbreak of 71 suspected human cases in the
DRC. Initial reports suggested that person-to-person transmission was the
predominant source of the cases, and that there might be long chains of
transmission. The area, a region of 12 small villages, was beset with famine,
and the study had to be halted early, before control subjects could be
identified and compared with cases, because of growing civil unrest.
Researchers interviewed residents in nine of the villages about possible
monkeypox illness during the preceding 12 months, and collected sera for
confirmation from suspected cases. This led to identification of 7 active cases
and 81 retrospectively identified cases, for an attack rate of 22 per 1,000
persons, but the range was considerable between villages.
The study showed seasonal variation in the disease, with a clustering of cases
during the summer months, followed by a decline, and then a resurgence the next
February. The attack rate was similar for males and females, the median age of
the cases was 10 years, and all three known fatalities occurred in children less
than 3 years old. The children all died within 3 weeks of the onset of their
rash, but there was no information to indicate whether the cause was monkeypox
or a superinfection that they acquired.
In this study, the overall case-fatality rate was only 4%. The researchers
speculated that the mortality rate may have been lower than in the other study
because a varicella outbreak in the region that was concurrent with the
monkeypox outbreak may have led to some confusion between the two. Still, almost
all of the identified cases appeared to have been confirmed in the laboratory
from collected sera.
Regarding the features of the illness, 40 of the 78 cases with full information
reported that they had had lymphadenopathy. All 75 of the examined individuals
had scars from their rash. All seven individuals with active cases had
lymphadenopathy, and each had over 100 lesions; five had a rash on the palms and
soles, and three had alopecia.
Although the study was interrupted, the researchers did not find evidence of
prolonged, human-to-human lines of transmission. There was an 8% secondary
attack rate among household members of cases.
Consumption of wild animals was common among the 85 cases for which this factor
was evaluated: 71 had eaten squirrel, 79 had eaten monkey, 77 had eaten rat, 64
had eaten porcupine, and 68 had eaten gazelle.
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"A foolish faith in authority is the worst enemy of truth."
-- Albert Einstein, letter to a friend, 1901
"I know of no safe depository of the ultimate powers of the society but the people themselves, and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise control with a wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to William C. Jarvis, September 28, 1820
"What's the point of vaccination if it doesn't protect you from the unvaccinated?"
-- Sandy Gottstein
"Who gets to decide what the greater good is and how many will be sacrificed to it?"