Pertussis resurgence in Canada largely caused by a cohort
effect.
Ntezayabo B, De Serres G, Duval B.
Department of Social and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Levalle
University, Quebec, Canada.
BACKGROUND: Beginning in 1990 Canada experienced a resurgence of pertussis.
Changes in incidence and hospitalization according to age in the province of
Quebec between 1983 and 1998 were examined to assess the presence of a cohort
effect resulting from a poorly protective vaccine. METHODS: The source of data
on incident cases was pertussis notifications to the Quebec Ministry of Health
and Social Services. Hospitalization data were extracted from the
administrative database that collects information on each hospitalization.
RESULTS: The mean annual incidence before 1990 was 3.8 cases per 100,000
population which increased to 37.2 thereafter. Infants had the smallest
increase (2.7-fold) when compared with children between 1 and 19 years who
experienced a 9- to 15-fold increase and with adults (22.5-fold). The mean
annual hospitalization rates increased from 2.7 per 100,000 before 1990 to 5.2
afterward. Ninety percent of hospitalizations occurred in children <5 years of
age. The proportion of cases in 0- to 4-year-old children decreased, whereas
it increased steadily in all other age groups during the entire study period.
Between 1990 and 1998 the median age of cases shifted from 4.4 to 7.8 years.
Pertussis affected predominantly children who were immunized with a vaccine
introduced in the mid-1980s. The evolution of the age distribution of cases
paralleled the aging of this cohort with a slow but steady drift of disease
from early childhood to adolescence. CONCLUSION: The sudden increase in
pertussis incidence in Canada can be largely attributed to a cohort effect
resulting from a poorly protective pertussis vaccine used between 1985 and
1998.
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