top federal researcher expressed hope yesterday that the tests that his
agency was planning would explain why the first large-scale trial of an AIDS
vaccine had found it more effective among African-Americans and other
non-Hispanic minorities than others.
The researcher, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, director of the National Institute
of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said his institute planned to perform an
array of laboratory tests on blood samples to uncover any possible immune or
genetic factor that might account for the findings.
But Dr. Fauci said he would first consult a number of statisticians to
try to determine whether the possible protective benefits among minorities
from the vaccine — known as Aidsvax and manufactured by
VaxGen of Brisbane, Calif. —
represented a statistical fluke or some unexplained biological or behavioral
factor.
The study involved 5,400 participants, mostly in the United States, and
failed over all to protect them from infection with the AIDS virus. The
possible benefit involved a small subset of nearly 500 minority participants
and was an unexpected finding.
"The statistics look impressive," Dr. Fauci said.
But Dr. Fauci and other AIDS and vaccine experts interviewed urged
caution, stressing that the possible benefit was based on preliminary
statistical analyses.
VaxGen officials received the data on Feb. 15 from an independent
committee that oversaw the integrity of the trial. VaxGen will need
additional weeks to analyze the findings before scientists can better
determine the significance.
One reason for caution, said Dr. Steven G. Self, a statistician at the
University of Washington in Seattle, is that the figures from subsets in
trials with negative overall findings can be misleading. Such findings often
generate the hypotheses that scientists test in additional studies. Dr. Self
said VaxGen might be able to test such hypotheses in the second part of its
study, being conducted in Thailand and due to be completed this year.
Dr. Fauci said that the findings were "provocative enough to give very
good reason to consider funding a larger study of this or other AIDS
vaccines among minorities," if statisticians agree that they would be
worthwhile.
Dr. Fauci said his team would test cells in the blood of participants for
specific HLA antigens, which can indicate whether a person is more
susceptible to certain infections or less likely to respond to certain
vaccines. He said they would also test the cells to see how they responded
after being exposed to components of viruses. VaxGen researchers also said
they would study vaccine recipients' blood samples and compare antibodies
from infected test subjects with antibodies of subjects who remained free of
the virus.
The researchers hope to identify which antibodies actually protect
against infection, rather than simply signaling that infection has occurred.
The identification of such antibodies, known as correlates of immunity,
might greatly help vaccine development.
The trial grew out of a decision in 1994 by the allergy and disease
institute not to support a big clinical trial of the vaccine, leaving the
work to VaxGen. Yesterday, Dr. Fauci congratulated VaxGen for conducting a
good study that would be "a major contribution" to the search for an
effective AIDS vaccine.
The Gay Men's Health Crisis of New York accused VaxGen of making
statements about the effectiveness of Aidsvax that obfuscated its trial
results.
"Making any statements about efficacy in this subpopulation is grossly
premature," said Gregg Gonsalves, director of treatment and prevention
advocacy at the gay men's group.
Dr. Thomas Coates, director of the AIDS Research Institute at the
University of California at San Francisco, was among the scientists who said
the preliminary findings of the trial did not warrant licensing Aidsvax.
The executive director of the Black AIDS Institute, Phill Wilson, said,
"However promising this vaccine may look for black people, it is a promise
for tomorrow."
"The possibility of a vaccine that works only for African-Americans
should jump-start black America's involvement in the vaccine development and
approval process," Mr. Wilson said as he and 1,000 participants in the
institute's fifth annual national conference on African-Americans and AIDS
in Manhattan emphasized the need for more blacks to be informed, tested and,
if found infected, treated.
The World Health Organization and the United Nations AIDS program said
there was an urgent need for additional research to learn why Aidsvax seemed
to work just for minorities.
Dr. José Esparza, the top AIDS vaccine expert for the United Nations,
said it was important for scientists to learn whether the different
responses to the vaccine were a result of ethnicity alone or differences in
behavior patterns in ethnic groups.
"We have to answer the questions," Dr. Esparza said. "Why only in blacks?
Would this vaccine work in Africa?"
Dr. Esparza said there was a precedent for experimental vaccines that
show effectiveness in particular subgroups. He cited the example of an
experimental herpes vaccine that showed protection just in women in a recent
study.
"We still do not have an explanation for that," he said.
About an H.I.V. vaccine, Dr. Esparza said, "we cannot take the wrong
tack, believing this is just racial, when in fact it could be something
else, and we have not identified it yet."
Dr. Nils Daulaire, president and chief executive of the Global Health
Council, said that although the VaxGen findings were "a blow to our hopes
for turning the tide of AIDS in the near future, they will help researchers
to identify more promising avenues toward a highly effective, globally
available AIDS vaccine."