The SARS Epidemic: The Virus; A New SARS Riddle: How to Know It's Beaten

Vaccination News Home Page                                            subscribe Vaccination NewsLetter

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F00E11F73A590C738FDDAD0894DB404482

Foreign Desk | April 30, 2003, Wednesday

The Sars Epidemic: The Virus; A New SARS Riddle: How to Know It's Beaten

By LAWRENCE K. ALTMAN (NYT) 1030 words
Late Edition - Final , Section A , Page 10 , Column 5

ABSTRACT - Lawrence K Altman analysis of SARS epidemic discusses new WHO assurances that outbreak is over in Vietnam and waning in Hong Kong and question of how much confidence experts can express about little-understood new disease (M) The World Health Organization has said that SARS is over in Vietnam and waning in Hong Kong, and yesterday it said it would rescind the warning against travel to Toronto. Responding to the first favorable news about the spread of the disease -- severe acute respiratory syndrome -- since the agency issued a global health warning on March 12, the markets in Hong Kong are rebounding.

But the pronouncements still raise questions about the degree of confidence anyone can have in predictions about the course of a new disease like SARS -- especially a disease that is so little understood, as W.H.O. scientists are the first to acknowledge.



 

PURCHASING FROM NYTIMES.COM IS QUICK AND SECURE.
To read the complete article, simply click on one of the BUY NOW buttons below.

You can buy this single article or, for even greater value, you can purchase this article as part of a multi-pack. You'll then have the opportunity to buy additional articles now or in the future at significant savings!
 
Purchase Single Article -- $2.95  
Purchase as part of Article 4-Pack -- $7.95
($1.99/article - a 33% savings!)
Pack expires after 1 month
 		  
Purchase as part of Article 10-Pack -- $15.95
($1.60/ article - a 46% savings!)
Pack expires after 3 months
 		  
Purchase as part of Article 25-Pack -- $25.95
($1.05/ article - a 65% savings!)
Pack expires after 6 months
 		  

How multi-packs work: A multi-pack is an archive package that saves you money by allowing you to pre-purchase a set number of articles in bulk at a reduced price. You can then debit from your multi-pack and quickly access articles from the archive at your convenience over the lifetime of the multi-pack.

Once you purchase an article, you may view it as often as you like over the next 90 days. Archive articles do not include photos, charts or graphics

Click here to purchase article if you already own an archive article pack.

 

Vaccination News Home Page

 

ALL INFORMATION, DATA, AND MATERIAL CONTAINED, PRESENTED, OR PROVIDED HERE IS FOR GENERAL INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY AND IS NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS REFLECTING THE KNOWLEDGE OR OPINIONS OF THE PUBLISHER, AND IS NOT TO BE CONSTRUED OR INTENDED AS PROVIDING MEDICAL OR LEGAL ADVICE.  THE DECISION WHETHER OR NOT TO VACCINATE IS AN IMPORTANT AND COMPLEX ISSUE AND SHOULD BE MADE BY YOU, AND YOU ALONE, IN CONSULTATION WITH YOUR HEALTH CARE PROVIDER.