Critics:
Politicians, public falling for not-so 'sound science'
By Dan Vergano, USA TODAY
Dead fish, oil wells, arsenic, lung disease. At
the intersection of politics and science, you're
likely to meet some unsavory characters.
And then there are the
politicians.
Political battles surrounding
scientific questions are nothing new, but a new debate
has emerged in recent years over "sound science," a
phrase used by both presidents Clinton and Bush to
describe the basis of their administrations' regulatory
decisions.
Not a term used by scientists,
sound science has come to mean new rules for determining
what kind of scientific evidence can be used to shape
regulations.
Five environmental bills now
before the 108th Congress have sound-science provisions.
The phrase has previously appeared in legislation
dealing with endangered species, logging on public
lands, public health and other topics.
Among lawmakers, sound science
has come to mean a preference for scientific data based
on real observations — rather than models or expert
judgment — that have been heavily peer-reviewed by
outside scientists.
Among critics, sound science has
come to mean the selective use of such data to justify a
certain agenda.
'Objectivity and utility'
That's too cynical, says risk
analysis expert John Graham, the Bush administration's
point man on sound science. "Two key ideas are
objectivity and utility."
Graham heads the Office of
Information and Regulatory Affairs at the Office of
Management and Budget. Sound science, he says, means "it
is important that (scientific) claims, whether for or
against a hypothesis, should be replicated before they
drive public policy."
He has championed a
"cost-effectiveness" analysis approach to regulation in
which scientists estimate the probable effects, with 0%
to 100% likelihood, of different approaches to solving a
problem. Decision makers should rationally weigh how
much risk they can afford based on those numbers. His
own work has involved auto safety, for example, weighing
the cost of requiring cars to have airbags against the
number of lives saved.
When it comes to sound science,
"we know it when we see it," says Mike Catanzaro, a
spokesman for the Senate Committee on Environment and
Public Works. Without sound science, he says, the
committee sees "an irrational approach, first
regulations and then science," practiced by such
agencies as the Environmental Protection Agency and the
Department of the Interior.
Critics take a dimmer view.
"Sound science is just a political buzzword used to
denigrate somebody else's best science in a conflicted
area," says science and public policy expert Rustum Roy
of Penn State. Risk analysis can easily be distorted, he
says, either by scientists or politicians backed by
special interests. "Distrust anyone who uses the phrase.
Sound science cannot be encompassed in a sound bite,"
Roy says.
In December, Democrats on the
House Committee on Resources attacked the idea in a
report called Weird Science: The Interior
Department's Manipulation of Science for Political
Purposes.
How sound the science?
Debate over the role of science
in public policy has intensified greatly in the past few
years:
- Part of the battle over oil drilling in the
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, a National
Academy of Sciences report found that drilling
both helped and hurt the wilderness. Displeased,
Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, suggested that
Congress curtail payments for such reports.
- A 2001 "sound science" decision by the EPA to
postpone a drop in the amount of arsenic allowed
in drinking water was rescinded after public
outcry.
- Graham has piled up two "Clean Air Villain of
the Month" awards from the Clean Air Trust for his
role in the EPA's decision to lower its estimate
of the benefits of clean-air controls. "He has
promoted a view that isn't sound science at all —
he is simply wielding a political ax aimed at
helping corporate polluters avoid pollution
controls," the environmental group contends.
"Science is the centerpiece. It
tells us how to accomplish our objectives without
spending our resources fruitlessly," says University of
Colorado freshwater scientist William Lewis. As chair of
the National Academy of Sciences' Committee on
Endangered and Threatened Fishes, Lewis sits in the
middle of one sound-science debate — the Klamath River
showdown.
On the Klamath
Endangered coho salmon need
certain water levels to survive, and other fish are
guaranteed to Native American tribes under federal
agreement. Upstream, farmers need the water for crops.
In the past, farmers have forced open canals and called
for an end to Endangered Species Act protection for the
fish.
Last year, Lewis' committee
released an "interim" report on the Klamath that
narrowly examined the scientific basis of decisions to
restrict water used for irrigation, and found them
inadequate. Department of the Interior scientists, the
committee found, relied partly on judgment instead of
field data to reserve water for flow downstream. The
interim report didn't say the judgment was wrong, simply
that it was not based on tested evidence. Still, partly
in response to that report, the Department of the
Interior opened the gates for irrigation, lowering the
amount of water going downstream.
The decision killed one-quarter
of the salmon downstream last fall, according to the
California Department of Fish and Game. "It's a nice,
fairly concrete science controversy standing by itself,
but you bring in the politics and legal aspects and you
have a situation that has blown up," says Kristen Boyle,
an attorney with the environmental group Earthjustice in
Seattle.
Things were expected to be dry on
the Klamath this year, too, so when the irrigation
canals were opened again on April 1, the water levels
were kept at 75%, according to Jeff McCracken of the
Bureau of Reclamation. Fortunately, it's a wet year,
but, even so, Department of Interior reports on the fish
kill missed their deadlines to have any impact on
irrigation decisions.
A "Best Science" document by the
American Fisheries Society calls the Klamath River an
example of the downside of sound-science rules: While
regulators wait for peer-reviewed studies, endangered
species may expire. "The concern is that policymakers
are defining science rather than scientists," the
society contends.
Advocates and critics of sound
science agree that scientific method can only provide
estimates of risk, not infallible predictions, for most
situations. Even with the best information, policymakers
still face tough decisions. "Science is important, but
no substitute in many cases for human judgment," Graham
says. "Science serves to inform that judgment"
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